White Paper “China’s National Security in the New Era”

White Paper “China’s National Security in the New Era”

On May 12, 2025, China’s State Council Information Office released a major white paper titled “China’s National Security in the New Era”. It presents a comprehensive shift in Beijing’s strategic thinking—distinguishing this as their first dedicated national security declaration since 1949  . The paper analyzes China’s holistic national security strategy—spanning political, economic, technological, and social spheres—and its global
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The Anti-Coercion Instrument and the Paradox of Deterrence

The Anti-Coercion Instrument and the Paradox of Deterrence

The EU regulation on countering foreign economic coercion (Reg. 2023/2675) sets up an instrument that, at first glance, appears robust: it allows the Union to identify coercive acts by third countries, initiate consultations, and—if necessary—adopt response measures. The stated goal is to “deter economic coercion” (see Recital 7, 8 and Article 1(2)). “Recital (7) Whilst
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A provocative idea: the case for “mirror tariffs”, a symmetric tit-for-tat or strategic proportionality ?

A provocative idea: the case for “mirror tariffs”, a symmetric tit-for-tat or strategic proportionality ?

Imagine a trade policy that reacts automatically—if the U.S. imposes 30% on imports, our system instantly mirrors with 30%. No announcements, no grandiose threats, no ambiguous deadlines, just a simple rule: escalate, and we escalate equally. Mirror tariffs: a strategic analysis The strategic logic Automatic mirror tariffs would fundamentally disrupt trade strategies that rely on
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Russian Cognitive Warfare according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW)

Russian Cognitive Warfare according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW)

Summary of “A Primer on Russian Cognitive Warfare” – Institute for the Study of War (ISW), June 30, 2025 Russia’s cognitive warfare represents a foundational pillar of its strategy for both war and governance. More than mere disinformation, it is a long-term, multilayered effort to reshape how adversaries think, reason, and decide—with the aim of achieving
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Between Courtesy and Coercion: unpacking the July 2025 U.S. Letter to the European Commission

Between Courtesy and Coercion: unpacking the July 2025 U.S. Letter to the European Commission

An analysis and critique of the letter sent by President Donald J. Trump to the President of the European Commission on 11 July 2025. The aim is not merely to parse its diplomatic language, but to dissect its rhetorical construction, strategic implications, and political tone—with particular attention to its underlying logic of coercion. A letter of intent—or
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An historic judgment: Ukraine and the Netherlands v. Russia before the ECHR

An historic judgment: Ukraine and the Netherlands v. Russia before the ECHR

The Grand Chamber of the European Court of Human Rights, in its historic judgment in Ukraine and the Netherlands v. Russia (9 July 2025), delivered a sweeping condemnation of the Russian Federation for what it characterized as multiple, flagrant, and coordinated violations of the European Convention on Human Rights across Ukrainian territory between 2014 and 2022. At
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SPHERE – Space Policies, Humanities, and Exogeographical Research Ecosystem – LUISS Center for International and Strategic Studies (CISS)

SPHERE – Space Policies, Humanities, and Exogeographical Research Ecosystem – LUISS Center for International and Strategic Studies (CISS)

I am proud to be part of SPHERE – Space Policies, Humanities, and Exogeographical Research Ecosystem, a research initiative that explores the political, social, and strategic dimensions of space in bold, interdisciplinary ways. SPHERE is an interdisciplinary research unit hosted by the LUISS Center for International and Strategic Studies (CISS). It is dedicated to the exploration of
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Europe’s Place in Space: Between Strategic Ambition and Earthly Reality

Europe’s Place in Space: Between Strategic Ambition and Earthly Reality

A trajectory links Earth to outer space, and it is not only the one traced by rockets. It is the political, economic, and regulatory path that the European Union is trying to chart while the cosmos becomes ever more crowded, contested, and—above all—relevant to daily life. Why does space matter to us? Satellite signals now enable
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Strategic indispensability over sovereignty: a critical reading of RAND Europe’s response to the EU Cloud and AI Development Act

Strategic indispensability over sovereignty: a critical reading of RAND Europe’s response to the EU Cloud and AI Development Act

RAND Europe’s response to the EU Cloud and AI Development Act consultation is a compelling and at times blunt strategic diagnosis of the European Union’s position within the global AI race. It offers a vision that moves away from romanticised ideals of full technological sovereignty and instead embraces the colder, more transactional logic of strategic
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Winning without understanding: the rise of dark logic in AI

Winning without understanding: the rise of dark logic in AI

The term “dark logic” in this context seems to refer to the AI’s ability to derive effective strategies or solutions that are outside the realm of human reasoning, often leading to unexpected yet successful outcomes. We’ve entered a strange new era in which artificial intelligence doesn’t just imitate how we think—it begins to think in
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“Lawful but Awful”: regulating misinformation, disinformation, and the rise of generative AI — Reflections on Simon Chesterman’s latest article

“Lawful but Awful”: regulating misinformation, disinformation, and the rise of generative AI — Reflections on Simon Chesterman’s latest article

In an age where synthetic realities are indistinguishable from truth, and deepfakes spread faster than fact-checkers can blink, Simon Chesterman’s recent article “Lawful but Awful: Evolving Legislative Responses to Address Online Misinformation, Disinformation, and Mal-Information in the Age of Generative AI” (2025) lands with the urgency of a fire alarm in a room full of sleeping regulators.
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Power is closely linked to the management of uncertainty: who controls the questions, controls the world

Power is closely linked to the management of uncertainty: who controls the questions, controls the world

“Today, those who control the questions shape the answers and those who shape the answers control the world.” — Luciano Floridi (L., Floridi, The Politics of Uncertainty, Philosophy & Technology, volume 28, pages 1–4, (2015)) In the age of information, power no longer resides solely in who has the answers. It lies deeper—in who decides which questions get asked
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Intelligence agencies and echo chambers for political narratives.

Intelligence agencies and echo chambers for political narratives.

Intelligence agencies must remain candid truth-tellers, not echo chambers for political narratives. When assessments are shaped to align with a government’s domestic agenda, the risk of distortion grows: facts may be selectively emphasized or downplayed to fit a desired storyline. As David Gioe and Michael Hayden caution (Foreign Affairs July 2, 2025), such politicization increases
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Conclusions from Nicholas Mulder’s “The Economic Weapon: The Rise of Sanctions as a Tool of Modern War” (Yale University Press, 2022)

Conclusions from Nicholas Mulder’s “The Economic Weapon: The Rise of Sanctions as a Tool of Modern War” (Yale University Press, 2022)

In the concluding chapter of his comprehensive and interesting study, Nicholas Mulder traces the evolution of economic sanctions from their early twentieth-century origins to the present day, offering three key insights into their historical development and contemporary significance. The transformation of liberal internationalism Mulder argues that economic sanctions as we know them today emerged after
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Grace Hopper: A Visionary Pioneer in Computer Science

Grace Hopper: A Visionary Pioneer in Computer Science

– Grace Murray Hopper, born on December 9, 1906, was a groundbreaking figure often referred to as the “grandmother of computer programming”. She earned a Bachelor’s degree in math and physics from Vassar College in 1928, and later a Master’s and a PhD in mathematics from Yale. After her studies, she returned to Vassar as a
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“Universities and schools need to develop first-class humans, not second-class robots”

“Universities and schools need to develop first-class humans, not second-class robots”

In his thought-provoking article, ‘Universities as Innovation Ecologies for Human and Planetary Flourishing’, Otto Scharmer challenges the traditional role of universities, advocating a transformative approach to higher education. He argues that universities must evolve into dynamic ecosystems that actively engage in regenerating society and the planet, as well as disseminating knowledge. From knowledge transmission to
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From Sanctions to Sabotage: the evolution of economic warfare in the thought and practice of Robert Cecil and Roundell Palmer

From Sanctions to Sabotage: the evolution of economic warfare in the thought and practice of Robert Cecil and Roundell Palmer

Robert Cecil, 1st Viscount Cecil of Chelwood, born in 1864 and deceased in 1958, is primarily remembered for his role in promoting peace through economic instruments. During the First World War, from February 1916 to July 1918, he served as Minister of Blockade, tasked with coordinating a naval embargo against Germany that forced the enemy
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The Return of Spheres of Influence: Revisiting Yalta in a Multipolar World

The Return of Spheres of Influence: Revisiting Yalta in a Multipolar World

The Revival of Geopolitical Bloc Monica Duffy Toft’s article “The Return of Spheres of Influence: Will Negotiations Over Ukraine Be a New Yalta Conference?” from Foreign Affairs (March 2025) begins by charting a historical arc: after the Cold War, the ascendancy of globalization, multilateral institutions, and liberal norms appeared to render traditional power blocs obsolete. Yet, as
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Germany’s Intelligence shift: recasting the BND as a strategic actor in a turbulent World

Germany’s Intelligence shift: recasting the BND as a strategic actor in a turbulent World

In late June 2025, a striking announcement marked a turning point in Germany’s intelligence landscape: the Bundesnachrichtendienst (BND), the country’s foreign intelligence agency, is set to undergo a major institutional overhaul. At the heart of this transformation lies a symbolic yet strategic leadership change. Bruno Kahl, who has led the BND since 2016, will step down and be
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Is It the End of International Law as we Know it?

Is It the End of International Law as we Know it?

1. International Law is not a Monolith A recent piece on The Guardian conflates the crisis of one branch of international law—namely, international criminal justice—with the demise of the entire system. Yes — it seems quite likely that the title of Linda Kinstler’s article was, at least playfully or ironically, echoing the R.E.M. song “It’s the End of the
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Power, Erosion, and the Unmaking of the Rules-Based Order

Power, Erosion, and the Unmaking of the Rules-Based Order

In their recent article Might Unmakes Right (Foreign Affairs July/August 2025 Published on June 24, 2025), Oona Hathaway and Scott Shapiro argue that the international legal order—painstakingly built over the past century—is unraveling under the pressure of great power politics and the instrumentalization of law by powerful states, particularly the United States. Their thesis is striking: rather
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Unlocking Freedom: Hurst’s vision of 19th-century American law

Unlocking Freedom: Hurst’s vision of 19th-century American law

James Willard Hurst’s Law and the Conditions of Freedom in the Nineteenth?Century United States (1956) is a landmark collection of essays that redefines how we see American legal history. Drawing on his 1955 Rosenthal Lectures at Northwestern, Hurst offers a compelling reinterpretation: law was not merely a restrictive force but a dynamic engine for unleashing individual and collective
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Is the Digital Dollar Undermining Itself? And What Should Europe Do About It?

Is the Digital Dollar Undermining Itself? And What Should Europe Do About It?

The United States has taken a bold, even bewildering step into the digital age of money. Through two executive orders in early 2025, the White House unveiled a Digital Asset Strategy (DAS) aimed at turning the US into the “crypto capital of the world.” The plan is ambitious: a national crypto reserve, a push for
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Gold Ascendant: ECB Report Highlights Decline of Dollar and Yuan, Stagnation of Euro in Global Reserves

Gold Ascendant: ECB Report Highlights Decline of Dollar and Yuan, Stagnation of Euro in Global Reserves

A recent report by the European Central Bank (ECB), published in June 2025, clearly shows that the share of the US dollar in international reserves has declined by about 2 percentage points, while the Chinese yuan has also lost ground, remaining stagnant at around 2.2%. In the same study, the euro’s stoic position emerges with
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Undersea Cables: RAND Europe submission to the UK Parliament’s Joint Committee on National Security Strategy

Undersea Cables: RAND Europe submission to the UK Parliament’s Joint Committee on National Security Strategy

The RAND Europe submission to the UK Parliament’s Joint Committee on National Security Strategy, in response to its Call for Evidence on Undersea Cables dated 6 March 2025, presents a detailed and urgent assessment of the risks, vulnerabilities, and governance challenges surrounding critical undersea infrastructure—particularly the telecommunications cables upon which modern society fundamentally relies. These
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International Obligations of Iran in the Field of Nuclear Non-Proliferation

I. Obligations under International Treaties: The NPT and Safeguards Agreements with the IAEA Iran has been a party to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) since 1970 as a non-nuclear-weapon state. Under Article II of the NPT, Iran is legally prohibited from acquiring or developing nuclear weapons. Article III obliges Iran to accept comprehensive safeguards implemented by
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ProtectEU: lawful access to encrypted communications?

ProtectEU: lawful access to encrypted communications?

Here they come again … The European Commission’s ProtectEU strategy aims, among other goals, to develop a “technology roadmap” that would enable lawful access to encrypted communications. Superficially, this promises a careful balance: strong encryption preserved, yet decryptable when legally warranted. But beneath the veneer lies a direct conflict with the fundamental rights framework established by the European Court
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Mechanisms of Modern Information Manipulation: Techniques and Implications and How to Counter Them

In contemporary information warfare, a suite of sophisticated techniques has emerged, designed to manipulate public perception, erode trust in institutions, and destabilize democratic processes. These methods, often employed by various political actors and regimes, leverage both traditional propaganda and modern digital platforms to achieve their objectives. Below is an overview of these strategies: 1. Information
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New EU import surveillance tool: monitoring trade diversions

New EU import surveillance tool: monitoring trade diversions

In response to escalating global trade tensions and the consequential redirection of goods into the European Union (EU) market, the European Commission has launched a comprehensive import surveillance tool. This initiative aims to monitor and mitigate the adverse effects of trade diversion, ensuring the stability and competitiveness of EU industries.  Background: The Surge in Trade
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The unpredictability and rapid shifts in geopolitical reality and strategic alliances within brief historical intervals, often less than a decade.

The unpredictability and rapid shifts in geopolitical reality and strategic alliances within brief historical intervals, often less than a decade.

The document presented is a memorandum dated April 12, 2001, from Donald Rumsfeld, then Secretary of Defense, addressed to President George W. Bush, Vice President Richard Cheney, and Condoleezza Rice. The memo introduces and attaches a critical reflection by Lin Wells titled “Thoughts for the 2001 Quadrennial Defense Review.” This reflection underscores a fundamental paradox:
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Ukrainian Drones Used ArduPilot and 4G/LTE in Strategic Bomber Attack — Russian SORM Likely to Adapt Quickly

Ukrainian Drones Used ArduPilot and 4G/LTE in Strategic Bomber Attack — Russian SORM Likely to Adapt Quickly

Reports indicate that the Ukrainian drones involved in the strike on Russian strategic bombers were controlled using ArduPilot over 4G/LTE communications. This suggests the use of cellular networks as a medium for long-range UAV control, leveraging the MAVLink protocol — a lightweight, widely adopted telemetry standard that remains unencrypted by default. From a technical and counterintelligence perspective, this raises immediate
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On Starlink

On Starlink

Starlink is a constellation of satellites in Low Earth Orbit (LEO) developed by SpaceX, designed to provide high-speed, low-latency internet connection even in the most remote areas. Its strength lies in the low orbital altitude—about 550 kilometers—which drastically reduces latency, bringing it down to the 20–30 millisecond range. This is a remarkable improvement compared to traditional geostationary satellites, which are much farther from Earth. The Starlink system relies
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The European Commission’s new EU Startup and Scaleup Strategy

The European Commission’s new EU Startup and Scaleup Strategy sets out a comprehensive vision to make Europe the most attractive place in the world to launch and grow innovative companies. The strategy highlights that startups and scaleups are crucial for strengthening technological sovereignty, economic resilience, and long-term competitiveness. While Europe has a solid foundation—such as a skilled workforce, a stable regulatory framework, and a
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Russia’s Nuclear Facilities (packed with Danish products) Exposed Online

Russia’s Nuclear Facilities (packed with Danish products) Exposed Online

A joint investigation by Danwatch and Der Spiegel has uncovered a stunning breach of Russian military secrecy: highly sensitive documents detailing the infrastructure of Russia’s nuclear weapons facilities were publicly accessible online for months. Over two million procurement documents—retrieved from a Russian government database using advanced digital techniques—reveal the massive, years-long modernization of Russia’s Strategic Missile Forces. These upgrades include new bases,
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End-to-End Encryption (E2EE) and the problems associated with backdoors

End-to-End Encryption (E2EE) and the problems associated with backdoors

What is End-to-End Encryption (E2EE)? End-to-End Encryption (E2EE) is a communication system designed to ensure that messages are readable only by the communicating parties. The fundamental principle is that the key used for encryption and decryption is known only to the endpoints, i.e., the users’ devices. This is different from non-E2EE systems, such as traditional email or
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TSMC, China, and the U.S.: A Semiconductor Power Struggle

TSMC, China, and the U.S.: A Semiconductor Power Struggle

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) stands at the epicenter of a complex geopolitical triangle involving the United States and China. As the world’s leading chipmaker, TSMC’s operations are deeply intertwined with both nations: it supplies advanced semiconductors to Chinese tech giants like Huawei and relies heavily on U.S. technology and equipment for its manufacturing processes.
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Understanding Section 899: A New Fiscal Doctrine in U.S.

Understanding Section 899: A New Fiscal Doctrine in U.S.

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 (OBBBA) is a comprehensive legislative package passed by the U.S. House of Representatives on May 22, 2025. Encompassing over 1,000 pages, the bill aims to extend and modify various tax provisions, implement significant spending changes, and introduce new fiscal measures. Section 899 of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 marks
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Bank issued stablecoin and US Treasuries demand: is it monetary camouflage?

Bank issued stablecoin and US Treasuries demand: is it monetary camouflage?

Scott Bessent recently suggested that a bank-issued stablecoin could generate up to $2 trillion in demand for U.S. Treasuries. To understand this claim, it’s necessary to unpack both the mechanics of stablecoins and the strategic thinking behind their potential expansion. Stablecoins are digital tokens pegged to fiat currencies—primarily the U.S. dollar—and typically backed by reserves
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Debunking the Claims About EU Lawfare

Mike Gonzalez’s recent article for the Heritage Foundation paints a picture of a Europe supposedly undermining democracy and the transatlantic alliance through “lawfare” and censorship. But does this narrative hold up? Lawfare or Democratic Safeguard? Gonzalez criticizes the use of legal instruments to counter parties like AfD in Germany or Vox in Spain, branding it
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